Estimate vega
Multiply vega by the IV-point change to isolate the first-order volatility impact.
Volatility lab · updated 2026-07-30
Estimate how much option premium can change when implied volatility falls after earnings, FDA decisions, FOMC events, product launches, or other catalysts.
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Most bad IV-crush decisions come from treating the chart direction as the whole trade. A cleaner process estimates price exposure, volatility exposure, time decay, liquidity, and the exact exit before the event.
Interactive IV crush calculator
Model the volatility piece separately from the stock move. The vega estimate shows how much premium could change if implied volatility contracts after a catalyst.
This is a first-order estimate using delta and vega. Real option prices also change with gamma, theta, skew, liquidity, interest rates, dividends, and model assumptions.
Multiply vega by the IV-point change to isolate the first-order volatility impact.
Multiply delta by the underlying move to separate direction from volatility.
Ask whether the expected move is large enough to beat crush, spread, and time decay.
Primary reading: OIC implied volatility overview · OIC Vega guide · OIC volatility and Greeks · FINRA options basics and Greeks · SEC Investor Bulletin on options
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